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SCIENCE TO THE LIMIT OF POSSIBLE


transhumanismo@sapo.pt

Transhumanism = Scientific current trying to improve Man's Intelligence, and Happiness.
Sexta-feira, 22 de Janeiro de 2010
DOMINATE ALL CATASTROPHES?

Rui Barbosa, PhD (U. Grenoble, France), Founder of the First Humanity+ Portuguese Chapter, transhumanismo@sapo.pt.

 

The Haiti’s Catastrophe was unexpected (neither the eastern system, based in the sensitivity of the animals and the detectable indications for human beings) nor the occidental one (based in seismographs) were able to foresee it…

That raises the question of knowing if, in the Future, it will be possible to dominate the Catastrophes, mainly the unpredictable ones…

 

The majority of the Catastrophes seem to be susceptible of being mitigated through Prevention. Many agencies of the UN Family (1) collaborated, during the International Decade for Natural Disasters Reduction, with international scientific and humanitarian organizations, national commissions, NGO, and groups of citizens, to study the best form to diminish these disasters; the period was of intense international exchanges and speeded up scientific information; knowledge more than necessary to prevent the loss of lives was generated, refined, debated, systemized and disseminated. The UN also gave, beyond the related technical knowledge, support to the constitution of institutions, and financial aids. Unfortunately, in the past, all these actions were not sufficient to make the nations change their behaviour relative to those disasters…

 

Also, the development of Science and Technology should allow the prevention and mitigation of the consequences of the majority of the Catastrophes. We present, in the following, forecasts of Michio Kaku (2) and Arthur C. Clarke (3) about until where such development could be attained:

- Up to 2020, spreading of sensors and microprocessors: This should be done all over all dangerous spots, which should have an impact in the detection capacity and intelligence of the system

- Up to 2050, the possibility for Artificial Intelligence to become systematically applied, exceeding materially the human one, and continuing from then on to overpass it more and more due to the absence of the organic limitations of this (Arthur C. Clarke); appearance of automata with common sense, natural language interface, recognition and manipulation of objects, and learning (Carnegie-Mellon University)

- Much after 2100, possibility of the robots to become “self-conscientious” (to be able to establish their own objectives, to take decisions by their own) and to act as stewards of the human beings; possibility of transferring the content of human neuronal nets to metallic bodies; at last, the possibility (Arthur C. Clarke) to automate the social systems such as the Energetic and the Economic ones, leaving for the humans only the disconnect function.

But…

 

There will very probably always occur unexpected phenomena, and these technologies, whatever developed they will become, will never be enough to attack them, because they will only be capable to act when those phenomena will have reached the catastrophic state…

The only solution that we imagine would be, therefore, for the Civil Defence to become an artificial immune system similar to the natural ones… Such hypothesis was already stated has years by myself and others (4)(5)(6): One such civil defence should have its proper “lymphocytes” (7), susceptible of an evolution, Darwinian or not, similar, or not, to the natural one (Tim Taylor, U. Edimburgo).

In hundreds of years, it could be possible to modify the Climate, and that would be a tool of prevention of the catastrophes that depend on it, with a very probable consequent disappearance of the Floods, that seem to be among the deadliest catastrophes.

In 2500 years it would be possible to control some astronomical and environmental phenomena…

See you in 15 days…

 

Totality of my chronicles: Transhumanismo Portugal

 

References

(1) UN Chronicle; Ben Wisner

(2) Michio Kaku, well known Scientist who met 150 of his top colleagues in the World, among them 15 Nobel Prizes, in “Visions – How Science will revolutionize the XXI Century”

(3) Author of “2001 Space Odyssey”

(4) James Hughes, Director of “Journal of Evolution and Technology”; USA

(5) “Some Limits to Global Ecophagy by Biovorous Nanoreplicators, with Public Policy Recommendations”; 2000; http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Ecophagy&oldid=292310902

(6) “The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology”; Raymond Kurzweil; 2005

(7) Main cells of the natural immune systems

 


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